Value Investment on Singapore Stock Exchange - Valuation Report of SMRT Corp
Value Investment on Singapore Stock Exchange - Valuation Report of SMRT Corp
Evaluated on 19-Jan-2007 and I am currently invested in this company.
About the company:
- Core Business: Public transport - provision of train, bus and taxi services.
- Date of Listing: Jul-2000
- What I like about this company: Its has got a stable earning basis, being a public transport service provider. Revenue and Net Asset Value improving throughout last 5 years. Profit and Earnings Per Share improved in 2002-2005, but there was a dip in 2006, likely due to increase in oil prices.
- What I do not like about this company: About 77% of its total assets is vested in Property, plant and equipment. I am not too comfortable with its bond issuing activities, because I do not understand the bond issuing concept. Probably need to re-visit this again some time later...
- Competitive advantage (if any): Being 1 of the only 2 MRT operators, it sure has its advantage!
Valuation Statistics (base on 1H07 financial report)
- Earning Per Share: $0.078 (projected)
- Price/Earnings ratio : 17.82 (projected)
- Operating Profit: 19.80%
- Return on Equity Ratio: 10.16%
- Current Ratio: 0.68 (as mentioned in above, something I do not like)
- Debt/Total Equity Ratio: 1.37
- Net Tangible Assets: $0.384
Conclusion
- Price: $1.39 (18-Jan-07)
- Intrinsic Value: $0.77 (highly subjective)
- Maximum Price I would purchase at: $0.62 (highly subjective)
- Price to IV: 180%
- Final word: At a 180% price to IV ratio, it is too expensive for me to make a purchase! Thus, I would not consider buying this stock at this point. Having said that, this is one of those recession-proof stock, which I would love to hold, when it is less expensive.
Information sources
- SMRT Corp website at http://www.smrt.com.sg/
- Share investment magazine, issue 296, 01/01/07 - 12/01/07
Disclaimer: Completeness, accuracy and opinions based on information and comments mentioned via this website cannot be guaranteed. Investors should always conduct their own research before making investment decisions.
2 comments:
Hi Mr Lim,
Got to know about your blog from Sunday Times.
Will be visiting this space regularly in future.
Cheers!
James Ong
http://kaokamoo.wordpress.com
Dear James, Aragorn,
Thanks for the kind compliments! :)
This blog will stay free for now... more like a social responsibility at the moment.
Warm regards,
Fu Chin
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